Rupee expected to remain weak versus dollar. Near term range at 82.50-84.20

The Indian Rupee hit all-time lows of 83.4550 this week on a strong US Dollar and FII outflows. The Dollar index has strengthened 2.87% YTD while FII outflows stood at Rs 52,461 crores YTD. Elevated gold and crude oil prices due to heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and between Ukraine and Russia also … Read more

RBI: Monetary policy must remain in risk-minimisation mode: RBI Bulletin

Mumbai: A recent reduction in cooking gas prices is likely to exert a softening effect on inflation that’s also being aided by declining non-food prices, but monetary policy must remain in “risk-minimisation” mode to firmly bring consumer prices back to the legally mandated target, central bank economists said. “Fuel prices remain in deflation, and this … Read more

India’s retail inflation almost unchanged in Feb; here’s what experts say

Retail inflation in India eased a tad in February to 5.09 per cent from 5.10 per cent the prior month. It was at a four-month high of 5.69 per cent in December. The retail inflation in India though is in RBI’s 2-6 per cent comfort level but is above the ideal 4 per cent scenario. … Read more

Fed pivot will dominate year of rate cuts in turn of global cycle

The coming 12 months are shaping up as the year of the interest-rate cut. After racing ahead with the most aggressive tightening campaign in decades during 2022 and 2023, central banks around the world are poised to begin easing monetary policy as inflation continues to retreat. The shift is captured by Bloomberg Economics, whose aggregate … Read more

RBI has food for thought but likely to keep rate pause

MUMBAI: The Reserve Bank of India’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) is likely to keep interest rates unchanged this week while signalling tight liquidity conditions and vigilance on inflation, as rising food prices are seen exerting upward pressure on upcoming consumer price readings. The MPC, which will detail its next policy statement at the end of … Read more